Q3 2026 GTA commercial real estate market update by Keystar Realty Inc., Brokerage

Q3 2026 GTA Commercial Update: Industrial Demand Is Back

Sunday Oct 25th, 2026

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Commercial Listings & News · 25 October 2026

GTA tenants kept taking space in the third quarter. Industrial absorption was positive for a fifth straight quarter, and downtown Toronto office vacancy fell faster than in any other downtown in Canada. Industrial asking rents are still easing, which matters if you are renewing a lease or deciding whether to buy.

Industrial (GTA, CBRE Q3 2026)

  • Net absorption: 2.0 million sq ft, the fifth positive quarter in a row
  • Availability: 5.0%, unchanged from Q2, with 2.4 million sq ft of new space delivered
  • Average asking net rent: down 3.1% from a year ago
  • Average asking sale price: up 2.5% from a year ago

Office (Toronto, CBRE Q3 2026)

  • Downtown vacancy: 13.1%, down 0.9 points, the largest drop of any downtown in Canada
  • Net absorption: about 1.0 million sq ft, positive in every quarter of 2026
  • Suburban vacancy: 19.6%

Capital (Canada, CBRE Q2 2026, the latest available)

  • $16.2 billion invested, the most in a quarter since early 2022
  • 44% of it in Toronto

Rates

  • The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% on September 2. Its next decision is October 28.

What it means for you

  • If you lease: rents are still softening, but space is being taken. Get comparables and start your renewal early.
  • If you are buying for your business: asking prices rose while rents fell. Compare the full cost of owning and leasing before you sign.
  • If you invest: capital is back, and Toronto is taking the biggest share.

This week's listings in Vaughan

Current MLS® listings, newest first:

Leasing, renewing or buying in the next 18 months? Send me your unit size and the rent you have been quoted, and I will send you comparables for your node. Call (416) 939-5284 or use the contact form.

Iouri Chestopalov, Broker of Record
Keystar Realty Inc., Brokerage

Sources: CBRE, Canada Industrial Figures Q3 2026 and Canada Office Figures Q3 2026; CBRE, Canada Investment Overview Q2 2026; Bank of Canada, September 2, 2026. Figures are market-wide averages, not an opinion of value for any property. Listing information comes from the MLS® System and is provided by the listing brokerages.